Automation Threat and Wage Bargaining
Arnoud, Antoine. (2019). "Automation Threat and Wage Bargaining." Unpublished Manuscript.
CV
CV can be downloaded here
Education
- Ph.D. in Economics, Yale University, 2019
- M.Sc, in Economics, Paris School of Economics, 2013
- M.Eng. in MEchanical Engineering, Tsinghua University, 2010
- M.Sc. in Engineering, Ecole Polytechnique, 2008
Employment
Economist, International Monetary Fund, 2019 - present
- Developed country risks models utilizing macro and alternative data
- implemented ML models for prediction of external, financial, fiscal, real sector crises, used for monitoring of countries at risk and detection of features contributing to risks
- curated data from IMF surveillance reports to derive macro indicators for surveillance and risk monitoring
- automated data pipeline and data updates, led the division’s adoption of version control system and unit testing
- Led macroeconomic analysis for Vietnam, Laos, Cameroon, Micronesia providing key insights and recommendations on debt sustainability, monetary and fiscal developments
- Analyzed data and developed econometric models to forecast macroeconomic variables: GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, and current account balance
- Led strategic foresight exercises and facilitated scenario planning with senior management, improving the institution’s preparedness for future macroeconomic developments
Skills
- macroeconomic analysis, debt sustainability, monetary & fiscal policies
- python, fortran, ML, NLP
Publications
Benchmarking Global Optimizers
Arnoud, Antoine, Guvenen Fatih & Kleineberg, Tatjana. (2019). "Benchmarking Global Optimizers." NBER.
Data matching Using Optimal Transport: Theory and Application to Income data
Arnoud, Antoine. (2019). "Data matching Using Optimal Transport: Theory and Application to Income data.".
Natural Resource Contracts in Sub-Saharan Africa
Arnoud, Antoine, Lartey, Abraham & Moreau Flavien. (2019). "Natural Resource Contracts in Sub-Saharan Africa.".
The Evolution of U.S. Firms’ Retirement Plan Offerings: Evidence from a New Panel Data Set
Arnoud, Choukhmane, Colmenares, O'Dea, Parvathaneni. (2021). "The Evolution of U.S. Firms' Retirement Plan Offerings: Evidence from a New Panel Data Set." NBER.
Service
- Referre for the European Economic Review